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STROKE - RISK OF SEIZURE

Clinical Bottom Line:
Stroke patients have a 5.7% risk of seizure at one year

Citation: Burn J, Dennis M, Bamford J et al. Epileptic seizures after a first stroke: the Oxfordshire community stroke project. BMJ 1997;315:1582-7.

Three-part Question: In a patient with stroke, what is the risk of seizure at one year?
Search Terms: "stroke" and "seizure" in Medline

The Study:
675 pts registered in a community-based stroke registry after their first stroke
The Outcome: seizure

The Evidence:

Well-defined sample at uniform (early) stage of illness..?yes
Follow-up long enough..?yes;
Follow-up complete..?yes;
Blind and objective outcome criteria..?no;
Adjustment for other prognostic factors..?no;
Validation in an independent "test-set" of patients..?no

Prognostic Factor

Outcome

Time

Measure

Confidence Interval

cerebral infarction

seizure

1 year

4.2%

2.2 to 6.2

primary intracerebral haemorrhage

seizure

1 year

19.9%

1.5 to 38.3

subarachnoid haemorrhage

seizure

1 year

22%

2.6 to 41.8

any stroke

seizure

1 year

5.7%

3.5 to 7.9

Comments:

  1. unsure how physicians selected patients for registration
  2. onset seizures (those occurring within 24 hrs of onset of stroke) associated with increased risk of seizure - OR 7.52 (2.46 to 22.98)
  3. probability of post-stroke seizure higher among patients >84 (but numbers small)

Appraised by: Straus, March 1998;
Expiry date: 1999



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